Friday, March 14, 2014

"WHAT GOES UP - MUST COME DOWN!!!

                                               "THAT'S JUST MY OPINION" - VOL. - 39
"Spinning wheel got to go round"  Blood, Sweat & Tears - 1969!
Where did the DOW close Dec. 31st, 1969?  Answer - 800.36!
This week the DOW was down - for reasons we have seen before!!!
Egypt crises the DOW was down big!!!
Syrian crises the DOW was down big!!!~
Guess what? 1 to 2  months later - NEW ALL-TIME HIGHS!!!!
Here we go again.
Ukraine crises and the supposed slow down in CHINA!!
REALLY!!!
China - everybody is worried about China slow growth!
WELL - CHINA HAS A CHANCE OF 7.50% OR HIGHER ANNUAL GROWTH!!!!
Think about this - IF THE GREAT US HAD 7.50% GROWTH - THE DOW WOULD BE AT 30,000!!!!!!
I'M GOING TO RANT!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!
Why do we -and I mean our news stations - HAVE ANY REAL INVESTIGATIVE REPORTERS ANYMORE????
For example:
UKRAINE AND CRIMEA!
History lesson!!!
Did you know back in 1954, Soviet Leader Nikita Krushchev transferred the the pennisula of Crimea to the Ukraine as a "GIFT"
WHY? HE WAS UKRANIAN!!!!!
He never thought the USSR would ever split up - OOPS!!!
NOW HERE'S THE PROBLEM PUTIN HAS.
1) Russia needs the Crimean port!
2) TWO-THIRDS of RUSSIAN NATURAL GAS EXPORTS TO EUROPE TRAVEL THROUGH THE UKRAINE.
3) 16% OF NATURAL GAS CONSUMED IN EUROPE FLOW THROUGH THE UKRAINE!!!!!
4) OIL AND NATURAL GAS RESERVES ACCOUNT FOR MORE THAN 50% OF RUSSIA'S FEDERAL REVENUES!!!!!
I ASK YOU - HAVE YOU HEARD THAT ON YOUR NIGHTLY NEWS??!!!!
THAT"S WHY PUTIN IS INVOLVED IN THIS REGION!
NOT TO WORRY - IT WILL BE SETTLED!!!
THEN THE MARKET WILL MAKE ALL-TIME HIGHS!!!!
                                                     "THAT'S JUST MY OPINION"
OK - OK We may have a little more downside in the market - mainly due to factors.
1) NEWS NETWORKS REPORTING NEGATIVE NEWS!!!
2) THIS IS WHAT I BELIEVE IS EVEN MORE IMPORTANT!!
NEVER - NEVER BUY STOCKS ON MARGIN!!!!
WHAT IS MARGIN YOU ASK?
THAT IS WHEN YOU ONLY PUT UP 50% OF THE STOCK PURCHASE!
ONLY MORONS DO THIS - WHY?
BECAUSE WHEN THE MARKET GOES DOWN AGAINST YOU - YOU WILL BE FORCED TO SELL OUT OF YOUR POSITION - NO MATTER WHERE THE STOCK IS TRADING AT!!
3) THERE MUST BE A LOT OF MORONS!!!
MARKET PARTICIPANTS BUYING STOCK ON MARGIN SOARED TO $412.5 BILLION ON THE NEW YORK STOCK EXCHANGE - THAT NUMBER REPRESENTS A 13.2% INCREASE FROM THE BEGINNING OF 2013 AND IS 50% HIGHER THAN THE LEVEL IN 2012!!!!!!!
THAT'S WHY WHEN THE MARKET STARTS TO GO DOWN -THESE IDIOTS THAT BOUGHT STOCKS ON MARGIN HAVE TO BAIL OUT - CAUSING A BIGGER DOWNDRAFT ON THE MARKET - THAT NORMALLY WOULD NOT OCCUR!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!
THIS SOON WILL PASS - BECAUSE I BELIEVE THAT THESE MORONS ARE NOW OUT OF THE MARKET!!!!
4) Think about this for a second!
LET'S SAY YOU HAVE MONEY AS A CITIZEN IN EGYPT, SYRIA AND UKRAINE - WHERE DO YOU PUT YOUR MONEY - THE GREAT USA!!!!! - THEY PUT IT IN OUR 10 YEAR BOND MARKET - DRIVING THE INTEREST RATE DOWN. SO WHAT YOU SAY! I'LL TELL YOU SO WHAT!!
5) THAT INPUT OF CASH FORCING OUR INTEREST RATES DOWN - HAD AN EFFECT ON OUR BANK STOCKS!!! HOW? BANKS NEED INTEREST RATES TO STEEPEN  _ THE YIELD CURVE TO STEEPEN - THAT WAY BANKS CAN MAKE MORE PROFIT!!!
                                       I HAVE MADE BOLD PREDICTIONS IN THE LAST 14 MONTHS!!!
THEY HAVE ALL BEEN RIGHT AS FAR AS MARKET DIRECTION!!!!
BUT THIS ONE - WILL PROVE WHETHER I AM A MORON OR VERY GOOD AT WHAT I DO!!!!
                              THE DOW WILL HIT 17,900 SOME TIME THIS YEAR!!!!!
LET ME REPEAT THAT - THE DOW WILL HIT 17,900 SOME TIME THIS YEAR!!!!!!!!!!!
WRITE IT DOWN - YOU HEARD IT HERE FIRST!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!
WHY?
EARNINGS -EARNINGS - EARNINGS!!!!!
Most surprises to the upside!! They start big time in the middle of April!
Mergers and stock spin offs - creating share holder wealth!!!
I JUST WANT TO REMIND EVERY AMERICAN AND EVERYONE INVOLVED IN THE STOCK MARKET!!!
THAT GOD CREATED THE GREATEST COUNTRY IN THE WORLD AND THAT IS THE USA!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!
Thank You;
Len Dwelle
lendwelle@hotmail.com

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